The Economic Costs of Con ̄ ict : A Case Study of the Basque Country

نویسندگان

  • ALBERTO ABADIE
  • JAVIER GARDEAZABAL
  • John F. Kennedy
چکیده

This article investigates the economic effects of con ict, using the terrorist con ict in the Basque Country as a case study. We Žnd that, after the outbreak of terrorism in the late 1960’s, per capita GDP in the Basque Country declined about 10 percentage points relative to a synthetic control region without terrorism. In addition, we use the 1998–1999 truce as a natural experiment. We Žnd that stocks of Ž rms with a signiŽ cant part of their business in the Basque Country showed a positive relative performance when truce became credible, and a negative relative performance at the end of the cease-Ž re. (JEL D74, G14, P16)

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تاریخ انتشار 2003